An Exchange of Views on the Economic Theories
Relating to Capital Goods, Credit and Financial Reserves
Edward J. Dodson, Editor
[The following exchanges occurred over a period of
several days during January 2009. The primary participants included:
Fred Foldvary, Mason Gaffney, Michael Hudson, and Jeffery Smith.
Edward J. Dodson, has afterward inserted a number of comments
but did not participate in the actual exchange]
MICHAEL HUDSON
... the HGSNY... diagram ...
capital receives interest.
I have for a long time suggested
that the HG Schools and Institutes stop using the term "interest"
for the return on capital goods. HG used the term that way, but it is
antiquated, and it is confusing to call this "interest" when
economists and most folks think of interest as the financial return on
funds.
The return on capital goods can
be called a "capital-goods yield" or "return on capital
goods" or "rental of capital goods."
ED DODSON (afterward)
So long we in the Henry George
Schools and the Institute use Henry George's books as text for the
courses, we cannot ignore George's use of "interest" as
the return to capital goods (or, expressed differently, as the
appropriate claim on total wealth produced by owners of capital
goods). What most of us do as teachers, I believe, is to explain to
students the different uses of the term by political economists,
economists today, and the business world.
MICHAEL HUDSON
Also I have long argued for
calling the factor "capital goods" rather than "capital,"
as this makes it clear that it refers to the input rather than to
money or other financial capital. But HG schools have stuck to their
confusing term "capital."
It seems to me that the HG
Schools do understand that "capital" and "interest"
refer to capital goods and its return, rather than financial capital,
but their terminology invites confusion.
ED DODSON (afterward)
In my own teaching, I do use
the term "capital goods" consistently. This emphasizes the
point made by George that what we include as wealth must be material
in nature and be produced by labor and other capital goods. Others
who teach George's political economy will have to speak for
themselves.
MICHAEL HUDSON
"Profit" can be a
return to any factor, so it would not be apt to call the specific
return on capital goods "profit."
ED DODSON (afterward)
I tell students that the term
profit describes what happens when businesses take in
greater revenue than they expend producing goods, providing
services, or as a result of successful arbitrage, speculation in
commodities, the stock market, futures investing and any other
endeavor where financial reserves change hands.
MICHAEL HUDSON
I think the meaningful meaning of
interest is the premium paid to shift purchases from the future to the
present day. Interest is about time. Profit is any revenue minus cost.
Time-based interest can be a return to any factor, not just capital
goods.
ED DODSON (afterward)
This is one aspect of why a
person with financial reserves is willing to allow another person to
temporarily take possession of the lending party's purchasing power.
The borrowing party makes a calculation of the costs of these funds
versus the benefits associated with whatever use the funds will be
put.
MICHAEL HUDSON
HG had a faulty explanation for
interest, i.e. the gain in value due to natural increases in crops
etc., and he did indeed mix up interest based on time and interest as
a return on capital goods.
ED DODSON (afterward)
My own study of George's
presentation of interest is less critical. He was far less concerned
with the specific calculation of the return to capital goods versus
the return to labor than subsequent generations of economists have
been. His main observation was that under competitive conditions the
return to capital goods is steady - high enough to stimulate
postponement of consumption in order to create capital goods but not
so great as to result in the kind of wealth and income
concentration he observed in all societies where capital goods
production was significant.
***
MICHAEL HUDSON
"Money-interest is payment
for privilege, the monopoly granted by law to commercial banks to
create credit and monetize the debts they create for their customers.
FRED FOLDVARY
We need to distinguish the
economic interest rate due to time preference, a natural phenomenon,
from monopoly-induced premia that get added to what Swedish economist
Knut Wicksell called the "natural" interest rate, or also
the forced reduction of interest rates, subsidies to the financial
firms and landed interests from the Fed money expansion. Without
privilege, there is still a premium for shifting purchases from the
future to the present, caused by the general preference for goods now
rather than later (time preference).
Indeed we should now be focusing
on the relationship between land rent and financial follies.
***
MICHAEL HUDSON
interest is imposed from ³outside²
the ³real² economy.
FRED FOLDVARY
You reject time preference?
MICHAEL HUDSON
It thus eats INTO profit and
siphons off rent and wages as well.
FRED FOLDVARY
In a pure market, entrepreneurs
seek to borrow funds in order to start or expand enterprise. Time
prefernece creates a quantity demanded for funds greater than the
quantity supplied from savings at a zero rate of interest. This
generates a positive rate of interest to clear the market for loanable
funds.
The interest payment is
voluntarily agreed to because the benefits of having funds sooner is
greater than the interest expense. So in a pure market, interest does
not eat into other gains. In today's economy, government-granted
privileges to FIRE indeed siphon off rent and wages. But this is
subsidies rather than interest per se.
***
MICHAEL HUDSON
To me, rent is unearned and
extractive
FRED FOLDVARY
Yes
MICHAEL HUDSON
Not a return to a "factor of
production."
FRED FOLDVARY
But land is a factor, e.g. an
input. Land users pay for the use of that factor. That payment is a "return"
to whomever has a legal or contractual right to that income. So I
don't understand your statement that rent is not a return on the land
factor.
***
MICHAEL HUDSON
The payment is for the right to
USE land. As such, it is an access fee. If "land" is a
factor of production, then so is air. It is "there."
copyrights, etc.
The key is, what has a COST to be
REMUNERATED. As I said in my earlier note to Mason, the argument here
is much like the wave vs particle theory of light. I'm not saying the
other is wrong. But for my purpose of value/price analysis, I focus on
land rights. It's the site value -- which is a legal creation.
***
FRED FOLDVARY
In a pure market, entrepreneurs
seek to borrow funds in order to start or expand enterprise. Time
preference creates a quantity demanded for funds greater than the
quantity supplied from savings at a zero rate of interest. This
generates a positive rate of interest to clear the market for loanable
funds.
The interest payment is
voluntarily agreed to because the benefits of having funds sooner is
greater than the interest expense. So in a pure market, interest does
not eat into other gains. In today's economy, government-granted
privileges to FIRE indeed siphon off rent and wages. But this is
subsidies rather than interest per se.
JEFF SMITH
In a true free market, you may
have such a level playing field and so much savings and so little
old-fashioned growth that you could have more venture capitalists than
borrowers, so investors would merely expect a percentage, instead of a
fixed rate, and banks might not charge borrowers but depositors, like
house-sitters can get paid, instead of tenants paying. So, your "interest"
can be a feature of an unfettered market but not a necessary or
exclusive feature.
***
MASON GAFFNEY
I have suggested that indebted
landowners be taxed on their equity, and the mortgagees be taxed on
the value of their unretired notes.
FRANK WALKER
An interesting concept, Mason. I
assume putting this proposal into practice will require the tax
assessor/collector to (1) keep track of the unpaid balance of notes
secured against land and improvements thereto; and (2) pro-rate loan
balances between (a) the value of the improvements which serve as part
of the collateral and (b) the value of the land; and (3) assess tax
only on that portion of the loan balance which is allocated to land
value.
***
YISROEL PENSACK
This statement from Michael
Hudson underscores what I wrote earlier about his
financial-legal-institutional approach to social-economic analysis:
Michael Hudson: "...for my purpose of value/price
analysis, I focus on land rights. It's the site value -- which is a
legal creation."
Libertarians tend to share that fallacious perspective that site
value -- and land value in general, for that matter -- is merely a
legal creation.
Georgists do not see it that way;
we see it as an outgrowth of natural law, not dependent on man-made
law. In the old Soviet Union, supramarginal land still had imputed or
imputable rent value even though there was not a private land market.
And that is ALWAYS true in all times and places regardless of the
legal system or lack of one, or the existence of a "land market"
or lack of one. Rent simply exists (if there's more than just one
grade or quality of land in use), regardless of whether rent is "paid"
or not and regardless of whether there's a legal right to "collect"
it or "demand" it or not.
***
FRED FOLDVARY
But land is a factor, e.g. an
input. Land users pay for the use of that factor. That payment is a "return"
to whomever has a legal or contractual right to that income. So I
don't understand your statement that rent is not a return on the land
factor.
MICHAEL HUDSON
The payment is for the right to
USE land. As such, it is an access fee. If "land" is a
factor of production, then so is air. It is "there."
copyrights, etc.
The key is, what has a COST to be
REMUNERATED. As I said in my earlier note to Mason, the argument here
is much like the wave vs particle theory of light. I'm not saying the
other is wrong. But for my purpose of value/price analysis, I focus on
land rights. It's the site value -- which is a legal creation.
***
MASON GAFFNEY
"Finance" is an
abstract term, though. How about identifying its members, with names
and specifics and degrees of influence? There are millions of small
pensioners who are the savers behind the firms who represent them.
RESPONDENT (unidentified)
Well, the problem IS abstract.
It's the idea of 'financializing' pensions, Social Security, etc.
These savers are part of a financial system that is itself not
necessary. Much as I like to engage in ad hominum arguments regarding
Georgists (where personalities DID scuttle Georgism), the financial
system is a structure that is itself the problem much as absentee land
ownership would be.
Instead of pointing to
individuals, I¹d point to the lobbying behind rewriting the
bankruptcy laws. I guess Paulson and Bernanke behind the $8 trillion
bailout would qualify, topped by bubblemeister Greenspan. But even he
was only a shil for the system, which is what provided the vast sums
to finance the same public relations ³think tanks² such as
American Enterprise, Cato etc that oppose land taxation as much as
they oppose financial reform.
***
MICHAEL HUDSON
Michael Hudson: "What gives
the FIRE sector its power is the rising power of finance to act as
central economic planner. Georgists don¹t like landlords; but
behind landlords stand the financial interests."
MASON GAFFNEY
Mason here. Mortgagees are a
power, I agree; some Georgists are inadequately aware of this, and
you, Michael, perform a useful role in raising their consciousness on
the point. For a symbol, the NAREB rents its D.C. offices from a labor
union; the Mortgage Bankers Assn (MBA) owns its own palatial building.
Be aware that J. Rupert Mason of
San Francisco, a patron of the HGSSS there, was hypersensitive on
municipal bonds and the conflict between them and holders of notes on
individual landholdings.
"Finance" is an
abstract term, though. How about identifying its members, with names
and specifics and degrees of influence? There are millions of small
pensioners who are the savers behind the firms who represent them.
***
MICHAEL HUDSON
Right, finance extracts interest
from revenue other than land rent. But 70% of bank loans are mortgage
loans."
MASON GAFFNEY
Mason here. That is a recent
cyclical development. For several decades after the 1930s most bank
assets were U.S. bonds. I rather expect after the current shakeout
we'll get back to that situation.
***
MICHAEL HUDSON
RSF delegated total authority to
its 'project director' Cliff. His position is therefore their
position.
MASON GAFFNEY
That was certainly true for a
while, to my surprise. Cliff has stepped down now, I couldn't say if
he still dominates the Board by some kind of hypnosis. I'm not sure
who's in charge now. Note, though, that Cliff seems to be a separate
power center from "the AIER crowd", so there has been some
rotation.
***
FRED FOLDVARY
I think the meaningful meaning of
interest is the premium paid to shift purchases from the future to the
present day. Interest is about time. Profit is any revenue minus cost.
Time-based interest can be a return to any factor, not just capital
goods.
MICHAEL HUDSON
This is Austrian theory, and it
is antithetical to everything that I understand about George. It
cannot be claimed today. Interest-bearing debt is created as a
privilege by banks.
The antiquated idea that "interest
is about time" came from somebody saving up real money. Today,
the link with gold and "money" and ³saving² that
represented labor no longer holds.
Debt creates savings. Bank loans
create bank deposits. This is basic post-Keynesian finance. I don¹t
expect you guys to agree with me, but I want to get on record the
serious disagreement I have with people who do not understand finance,
such as the Austrians. One cannot be an Austrian and a Georgist.
I'm not saying this ad hominum.
Fred DOES correctly understand the Austrian posotion. At issue is the
definition of "money" and "saving" at the most
basic level. (Randy Wray, Hyman Minsky and our UMKC group have been
pressing this for many decades, as have our Berlin group.)
***
MICHAEL HUDSON
Yes, of course I reject time
preference, for reasons in my previous post.
I also reject the idea that there
is such a thing as a ³pure² market.
Fred's confusion explains why we
need statistics. CEOs today borrow to take over other existing
enterprise, to buy back their shares, and to pay dividends.
They do NOT borrow to ³expand
enterprise.² This is a fatal, fatal error. Capital investment is
financed out of retained earnings.
My point is that instead of
trying to think of science fiction about a parallel universe in your
head, why not look at the facts.
Unless Georgists do this and use
everyday vocabulary to describe these facts they will be treated as
cultish and off-the-wall. When Fred makes statements such as in this
and the previous post, I rest my case.
***
MICHAEL HUDSON
interest is imposed from "outside"
the "real" economy.
FRED FOLDVARY
You reject time preference?
MICHAEL HUDSON
It thuseats INTO profit and
siphons off rent and wages as well.
FRED FOLDVARY
In a pure market, entrepreneurs
seek to borrow funds in order to start or expand enterprise. Time
preference creates a quantity demanded for funds greater than the
quantity supplied from savings at a zero rate of interest. This
generates a positive rate of interest to clear the market for loanable
funds.
The interest payment is
voluntarily agreed to because the benefits of having funds sooner is
greater than the interest expense. So in a pure market, interest does
not eat into other gains. In today's economy, government-granted
privileges to FIRE indeed siphon off rent and wages. But this is
subsidies rather than interest per se.
***
MICHAEL HUDSON
I think we're arguing at cross
purposes here.
You're absolutely right: there IS
a site value. Ted above all has shown this. And it was a failure of
the soviet system not to recognize that you shouldn't put a chocolate
factory in a prime location just across the Moscow River from the
Kremlin.
I'm a big fan of von Thunen. Site
value DOES exist. Often via public transportation, as Fred Harrison
has shown.
But my focus is that this site
valuation does not entail a COST, except for that of public
infrastructure (not the land itself, which nature provides freely).
As in my discussion with Mason, I
think (hope?) we agree on what actually is happening. The question is
how best to express it in language.
There can be different
expressions for different purposes. As a classical economist, my point
of reference is (market) price minus (cost) value. This is how I
measure unearned income.
***
YISROEL PENSACK
This statement from Michael
underscores what I wrote earlier about his
financial-legal-institutional approach to social-economic analysis:
"...for my purpose of value/price analysis, I focus
on land rights. It's the site value -- which is a legal creation."
Libertarians tend to share that
fallacious perspective that site value -- and land value in general,
for that matter -- is merely a legal creation.
Georgists do not see it that way;
we see it as an outgrowth of natural law, not dependent on man-made
law. In the old Soviet Union, supramarginal land still had imputed or
imputable rent value even though there was not a private land market.
And that is ALWAYS true in all times and places regardless of the
legal system or lack of one, or the existence of a "land market"
or lack of one. Rent simply exists (if there's more than just one
grade or quality of land in use), regardless of whether rent is "paid"
or not and regardless of whether there's a legal right to "collect"
it or "demand" it or not.
***
MICHAEL HUDSON
The payment is for the right to
USE land. As such, it is an access fee. If "land" is a
factor of production, then so is air. It is "there."
copyrights, etc.
The key is, what has a COST to be
REMUNERATED. As I said in my earlier note to Mason, the argument here
is much like the wave vs particle theory of light. I'm not saying the
other is wrong. But for my purpose of value/price analysis, I focus on
land rights. It's the site value -- which is a legal creation.
br> ***
MICHAEL HUDSON
To me, rent is unearned and
extractive.
FRED FOLDVARY
yes
MICHAEL HUDSON
not a return to a "factor of
production."
FRED FOLDVARY
But land is a factor, e.g. an
input. Land users pay for the use of that factor. That payment is a "return"
to whomever has a legal or contractual right to that income. So I
don't understand your statement that rent is not a return on the land
factor.
***
MICHAEL HUDSON
CEOs today borrow to take over
other existing enterprise, to buy back their shares, and to pay
dividends.
FRED FOLDVARY
Agreed. But firms borrow for
other reasons also.
MICHAEL HUDSON
They do NOT borrow to "expand
enterprise."
FRED FOLDVARY
Never, not even small business?
MICHAEL HUDSON
How do you know?
FRED FOLDVARY
Capital investment is financed
out of retained earnings.
Always? What about new firms?
MICHAEL HUDSON
why not look at the facts.
FRED FOLDARY
We are observing different facts.
I have seen reports of businesses unable to borrow to pay for
inventory and other expenses. A restaurant in Berkeley near my
residence recently shut down because it was not able to borrow funds.
Are these not facts?
MICHAEL HUDSON
When Fred makes statements such
as in this and the previous post, I rest my case.
FRED FOLDVARY
Resting your case does not make
untrue my observation of a firm shutting down because it could not
borrow, even if you don't consider this a fact.
***
FRED FOLDVARY
interest is the premium paid to
shift purchases from the future to the present day.
MICHAEL HUDSON
This is Austrian theory, and it
is antithetical to everything that I understand about George.
FRED FOLDVARY
It is antithetical to George's
explanation of interest, but why of "everything"? It is not
about land or rent.
MICHAEL HUDSON
It cannot be claimed today.
FRED FOLDVARY
Why do folks borrow to buy a car
rather than waiting until they have sufficient savings?
MICHAEL HUDSON
Interest-bearing debt is created
as a privilege by banks.
FRED FOLDVARY
It is, but there is also other
debt.
Are credit unions a privilege?
It is possible for one individual
to lend to another, creating debt. Of course empirically most
borrowing is from banks, but debt is not inherently only from
privilege.
Your statement does not refute
time preference.
You seem to be mixing current
institutions with basic theory.
MICHAEL HUDSON
"Saving" that
represented labor no longer holds.
FRED FOLDVARY
Is it not possible to save some
income from labor?
MICHAEL HUDSON
Bank loans create bank deposits.
FRED FOLDVARY
True. But savings from wages and
other income also become bank deposits.
MICHAEL HUDSON
One cannot be an Austrian and a
Georgist.
FRED FOLDVARY
It is not clear what "Austrian"
means here.
Mason has adopted Austrian
capital-goods theory, distinguishing fixed and circulating capital.
Does that make him a
non-Georgist?
It is also not clear here what "Georgist"
means.
If one accepts Georgist rent-tax
theory but not Georgist interest theory, is he a non-Georgist?
***
YISROEL PENCHAK
Libertarians tend to share that
fallacious perspective that site value -- and land value in general,
for that matter -- is merely a legal creation.
FRED FOLDVARY
Please give us their explanation
of how land value is a legal creation. I don't understand this, and
have never read anyone say this.
***
MICHAEL HUDSON
Your summary is quite concise,
Mason, and I have no problem with it. Yes, the rent-of-location
exists, and it is functional to make land rent cover the benefits it
confers. Stalinist economies don't recognize this.
I think I mentioned that when I
was in Cuba, we noticed prime waterfront property that could have been
sold as million-dollar condominiums let out to workers. I suggested
that inasmuch as Cuba needed money for vitamins and other things, to
lease out this prime real estate. "Oh, but that would change the
CHARACTER of our worker-equality country," Cuba's real estate
commissioner told me.
"Right," I said.
So we have no argument there.
The problem is the privatization
of this site and who GETS the rent. I thought that the "people"
should get it, and laid out the land-tax plan. As Ted will tell you,
the delegates to the meeting went wild with approval over this. We had
a great presentation.
But without Castro's go-ahead,
nothing was done. Everyone looked to him uniquely.
In this country, the bankers end
up with the rent; in Cuba it's wasted.
***
MASON GAFFNEY
Michael, I see land rent as both
parasitic and functional. It is functional in that owners seeking the
highest rent serve to allocate land to its highest and best use; it is
parasitic in that private owners need not collect it in order to
supply land.
The FIRE sector also serves to
create and allocate and conserve capital. These I see as vital
economic functions. I am not clear on how you see them - please
explain.
Politically, the owners of
capital and their agents in the FIRE sector tend to make common cause
with owners of land, which confuses matters. It is not always thus,
however. Early French Calvinists, for example, allied with labor to
fight landowners. Only after winning and gaining some power did the
capitalists spurn labor and ally with landowners. Something similar
happened in the U.S.A. when the Progressive T.R. Republicans gave way
to the "New Era" Republicans who put up Warren Harding as
their cat's-paw, with Nicholas Murray Butler at the center of the
scheming, and J. Edgar Hoover and Andrew Mellon as the cat's teeth.
I don't worry about whether your
views or mine are Georgist or not. George on capital is pretty
muddled, IMHO, and sometimes self-contradictory. Let's just work
something out that makes sense.
***
MICHAEL HUDSON
Your observation does NOT say
that the restaurant wanted to borrow for capital investment. It
probably wanted to borrow to cover a deficit.
The Fed has statistics on bank
loans. Corporate balance sheets show this, and the NIPA provide data
on capital spending, cash flow, etc.
By all means, Georgists should
finance good statistical analysis into all this.
***
MICHAEL HUDSON
CEOs today borrow to take over
other existing enterprise, to buy back their shares, and to pay
dividends.
FRED FOLDVARY
Agreed. But firms borrow for
other reasons also.
MICHAEL HUDSON
They do NOT borrow to "expand
enterprise."
FRED FOLDVARY
Never, not even small business?
How do you know?
MICHAEL HUDSON
Capital investment is financed
out of retained earnings.
FRED FOLDVARY
Always? What about new firms?
MICHAEL HUDSON
Why not look at the facts.
FRED FOLDVARY
We are observing different facts.
I have seen reports of businesses unable to borrow to pay for
inventory and other expenses. A restaurant in Berkeley near my
residence recently shut down because it was not able to borrow funds.
Are these not facts?
MICHAEL HUDSON
When Fred makes statements such
as in this and the previous post, I rest my case.
FRED FOLDVARY
Resting your case does not make
untrue my observation of a firm shutting down because it could not
borrow, even if you don't consider this a fact.
***
FRED FOLDVARY
your "interest"
can be a feature of an unfettered market but not a necessary or
exclusive feature.
JEFF SMITH
I don't know what you mean by "exclusive,"
but interest is necessary and existing in any economy because it
originates in the human mind.
The human lifespan is limited,
and the future is uncertain, so most folks tend to want things sooner
rather than later. Future goods thus have a discount relative to
present-day goods, and the rate of discount is the rate of interest.
People pay a premium to purchase
stuff sooner rather than later. This premium can take many forms, but
the premium is inherently interest.
Islamic banking, for example, has
no explicit interest, but when the bank becomes a partner by putting
up cash, and then gets a share of the revenue, it is implicit interest
even if they don't want to call it that.
Somebody has gotten money from a
bank to shift the purchase from the future to the present, and paid
back more than the initial fund.
***
MICHAEL HUDSON
I've made it a principle not even
to argue with Austrians. I shouldn¹t have begun. The examples you
cite are marginal, not the main ones. Of course there are credit
unions. I¹m talking about interest on the great bulk of credit,
which is bank credit, and is created as mortgage debt for buyers of
real estate and companies.
***
MICHAEL HUDSON
In this country, the bankers end
up with the rent.
FRED FOLDVARY
Yes, but don't the depositors get
a little of it?
If banking were not a privilege
but a competitive enterprise, would depositors not get all of it
(before taxes)?
Also, you stated that there is no
such thing as a pure market. Does that imply that even conceptually
there is no such thing as the elimination of all privileges?
***
MICHAEL HUDSON
the great bulk of credit ... is
bank credit, and is created as mortgage debt for buyers of real estate
and companies.
FRED FOLDVARY
Yes, of course. We don't have
pure interest today; what is called "interest" is skewed by
government-granted privileges to FIRE and also distorted by taxes.
Some "interest" is really risk premium, and other "interest"
is subsidy. Some is a tax premium. It's a mess.
MICHAEL HUDSON
One cannot be an Austrian and a
Georgist.
FRED FOLDVARY Mason has adopted Austrian capital-goods theory,
distinguishing fixed and circulating capital. Does that make him a
non-Georgist?
Leland Yeager is an Austrian but
also agrees with taxing land and admires Henry George.
I agree with Austrian
capital-goods theory and Georgist land-value-tax theory.
So these labels are not that
clear or useful.
My approach is to combine the
best theories of all schools of thought.
***
FRED FOLDVARY
The human lifespan is limited,
and the future is uncertain, so most folks tend to want things sooner
rather than later.
Future goods thus have a discount
relative to present-day goods, and the rate of discount is the rate of
interest.
JEFFERY SMITH
True, but not exclusively true.
That is, people can do just the reverse, being different people with
different preferences, or the same people at a different time.
***
MASON GAFFNEY
Fred is right that I have adopted
the distinction of fixed and circulating capital, which was once
associated with the original Austrians. However I no longer call it "Austrian",
because today's so-called Austrians have gone over almost completely
to reactionary politics. The von Mises Institute exemplifies the
point. There is one modern Austrian, Roger Garrison, who continues the
older tradition, and there is our own Fred, who combines it with
Georgism. Lew Rockwell and his retinue at Auburn, OTOH, ... well,
subscribe to their newsletter and decide for yourself.
3-4 years back they contacted a
von Hapsburg, a pretender to the throne of the Austro-Hungarian
Empire, and feted him as royalty. They are monarchists, too! (Actually
old Joseph II, in the era of Benevolent Despots, was a strong
physiocrat, as well as the patron of Mozart - but that wasn't what
Rockwell had in mind. My impression is that he would welcome a new
Metternich.)
MICHAEL HUDSON
Dear Mason,
Are you referring to Little Otto?
David Rockefeller hired him for CMB, and he would go around the world
collecting gossip on coup d'etats, and send in his reports on
onion-skin papers. I was in charge of getting them, and would save
them up for Friday afternoon's relaxation time for the weekend.
I'd call my pals in from the
Economics Dept at Chase and we'd read them aloud, laughing
uproariously. Each report was an Eric Ambler thriller in miniature
about some forsaken African or other Southern Hemisphere country,
sometime about gossip from Europe. I don't think David ever bothered
to get any of these reports. Once little Otto actually came by our
offices. So you can say when you meet people, "This is the hand
that shook the hand that shook the hand of Otto von Habsburg."
Who really needs Austrian theory
when you have a line like that?
***
MASON GAFFNEY
I have suggested that indebted
landowners be taxed on their equity, and the mortgagees be taxed on
the value of their unretired notes.
FRANK WALKER
An interesting concept, Mason. I
assume putting this proposal into practice will require the tax
assessor/collector to (1) keep track of the unpaid balance of notes
secured against land and improvements thereto; and (2) pro-rate loan
balances between (a) the value of the improvements which serve as part
of the collateral and (b) the value of the land; and (3) assess tax
only on that portion of the loan balance which is allocated to land
value.
***
FRED FOLVARY
The human lifespan is limited,
and the future is uncertain, so most folks tend to want things sooner
rather than later. Future goods thus have a discount relative to
present-day goods, and the rate of discount is the rate of interest.
JEFFERY SMITH
True, but not exclusively true.
That is, people can do just the reverse, being different people with
different preferences, or the same people at a different time.
FRED FOLDVARY
I said MOST folks TEND to want
things sooner, and the social consequence is that at a zero interest
rate, the funds people want to borrow is greater than the funds
available. Some folks would save even at zero interest, but the amount
others want to borrow would be greater. It is possible that in some
society, everybody is totally satisfied, but in today's world, human
desires tend to be unlimited, so they borrow today to have a car or
house rather than waiting years to have enough savings.
***
FRED FOLDVARY
I said MOST folks TEND to want
things sooner.
JEFFERY SMITH
Yes, but ... FRED FOLDVARY
How people act in an unjust
economy may differ from how they act in a just economy.
JEFFERY SMITH
Economists never if ever study
anthropology. Their conception of human nature is stilted. Remember
the survey that found of the disciplines economists were the most
selfish? Was in "Why Garbagemen are worth more than economists".
You know the author.
FRED FOLDVARY
human desires tend to be
unlimited, so they borrow today to have a car or house rather than
waiting years to have enough savings.
JEFFERY SMITH
All true, but contexts do and
must change.
***
MICHAEL HUDSON
Mason, the distinction between
fixed and circulating capital is basic classical economics, including
Marxism. Why even mention the Austrians at all? Best to ignore them.
Re the supposed "time
structure," all this is rendered obsolete by the fact that credit
can be created ex nihilo by banks, as long as they can find customers
to sign IOUs. "Loans create deposits," hence monopoly credit
privilege creates savings.
The wealthy don't get that way by
"postponing" their desire. The ancients knew it best, in
describing "wealth addiction." Who could be more avaricious
and impatient than a Wall Street fund manager? That's the problem with
oligarchies -- they live in the present. For Milton Friedman and the
Chicago School, the short term IS the long term.
The key to understanding
economics is privilege, which is extracted from the state by
oligarchies; the key is NOT "individualism," save for the
study of greed, which is insatiable (in contrast to the theory of
diminishing marginal utility).
***
MASON GAFFNEY
Fred is right that I have adopted
the distinction of fixed and circulating capital, which was once
associated with the original Austrians.
FRED FOLDVARY
It is still in Austrian-school
theory. A key element of Austrian theory is the time-structure of
capital goods, from "lower level" circulating capital such
as inventory, that turns over quickly, to "higher level"
long-duration investments such as real estate construction. Austrian
theory says that a lowering of the interest rate steepens the
structure, as there is more investment in the higher order capital
goods (fixed capital) as more sensitive to interest rates. This then
becomes central in the Austrian Business Cycle. This capital-goods
theory is still the heart of Austrian theory. We can also learn from
Austrians to call produced goods "capital goods" rather than
"capital."
MASON GAFFNEY However I no longer call it "Austrian",
because today's so-called >Austrians have gone over almost
completely to reactionary politics.
FRED FOLDVARY
You should not judge the whole
Austrian school from the royalist views of one branch of it. But you
may of course call the capital-goods theory what you like. I hereby
dub it "Gaffnian."
My point is that classic Austrian
theory can be combined with Georgist theory, as you, Mase, have done
excellently.
Georgist business cycle theory is
incomplete, as it does not include capital goods and interest rates,
and as I see it, Austrian theory complements it nicely, as Mason has
shown brilliantly.
MASON GAFFNEY
Thank you, Fred, for them/thar
kind words. Please tell me, though, who beside you and Garrison is
writing about Austrian capital theory nowadays?
***
MASON GAFFNEY
The time-preference rationale is
arguable, and Jeff clearly will argue against it indefinitely. I
wonder if it isn't simpler to note how all businesses require front
money: merchants to carry stock, builders to put up structures that
won't pay out for decades. Governments require it to build
infrastructure and, tragically, to fight wars.
Look what is happening currently
because so many businesses and governments cannot get the front money
they need to carry on even routine daily operations, let alone repair
roads and bridges and reservoirs.
Investing is the independent
force that "animates all the work of society" - Turgot,
1767. Keynes revived this idea in 1936.
That makes it clear, or so it
seems to me, that we need capital to make the world go round.
***
MICHAEL HUDSON
Mason, the distinction between
fixed and circulating capital is basic classical economics, including
Marxism. Why even mention the Austrians at all? Best to ignore them.
MASON GAFFNEY
Mason here. The Austrians kept it
alive when the neoclassicals, led by Clark and Knight, eliminated it.
MICHAEL HUDSON
Re the supposed "time
structure," all this is rendered obsolete by the fact that credit
can be created ex nihilo by banks, as long as they can find customers
to sign IOUs. "Loans create deposits," hence monopoly credit
privilege creates savings.
MASON GAFFNEY
This idea that valid ideas are "rendered
obsolete" by some new gimmick is a serious error, IMHO, and a way
of brushing away the mental effort they call for. I seriously disagree
with your view of deposit creation, since every new deposit is a
liability of the bank that creates it, payable on demand. As to
novelty, note that banks have been in this business for centuries. But
let's not open that box here, I sense that our audience wearies of
this whole thread, which is why they don't participate.
MICHAEL HUDSON
The wealthy don't get that way by
"postponing" their desire. The ancients knew it best, in
describing "wealth addiction." Who could be more avaricious
and impatient than a Wall Street fund manager? That's the problem with
oligarchies -- they live in the present. For Milton Friedman and the
Chicago School, the short term IS the long term.
MASON GAFFNEY
When you go on laying about you
with a shillelagh you grow less persuasive!
MICHAEL HUDSON
The key to understanding
economics is privilege, which is extracted from the state by
oligarchies; the key is NOT "individualism," save for the
study of greed, which is insatiable (in contrast to the theory of
diminishing marginal utility).
MASON GAFFNEY
For some people that is so. See
attached on "Auri sacra fames", which cites you. Note,
though, that unlimited greed can apply only to assets that do not
spoil, like untaxed land. Note how cleverly God squelched greed among
the starving Hebrews when he dropped manna from heaven, and made it
spoil overnight. For most humans, w.r.t. most forms of capital, I
believe the marginal utility of wealth is diminishing, which is why
taxing land will increase the propensity to save.
***
MASON GAFFNEY
The time-preference rationale is
arguable, and Jeff clearly will argue against it indefinitely.
JEFFERY SMITH
Clearly I haven't even started
yet! To say immediate gratification s not all people ever do is not
against it, unless such desire desires to monopolize all human
situations. Noting when it applies and not is not against it. It's
merely getting a better look at it.
MASON GAFFNEY
Investing is the independent
force that "animates all the work of society" - Turgot,
1767. Keynes revived this idea in 1936.
JEFFERY SMITH
Aren't investing and lending
different?
MASON GAFFNEY
Yes and no. Keynes defined
investing as an "income-creating expenditure", meaning
hiring workers to produce something. It was "net social"
investing, i.e. not offset by disinvesting by sellers.
JEFFERY SMITH
Gradually, anti-labor types
regained control of the profession and silently changed the meaning so
buying land became part of investing.
MASON GAFFNEY
Turgot's meaning was similar to
Keynes', although not made so explicit.
***
MICHAEL HUDSON
Good point, Mason. People seem to
have been more clear conceptually as one goes back in time. So much
for the theory of progress.
***
MASON GAFFNEY
The first part is right, but the
second part not. He fails to distinguish land from buildings; and old
buildings from new.
When Walter Heller devised the
ITC he took care to limit it to NEW capital only; and to CAPITAL only.
MICHAEL HUDSON
What do you guys think of this,
from David Kay Johnston in Mother Jones:
Demolish the Mansion Deduction
Much as middle-class homeowners cherish it, the mortgage deduction
functions mostly as another upside-down subsidy: Less than half of
homeowners can use it, and for each dollar saved by those making
between $30,000 and $40,000, those making $1 million or more save
$380. (Canada, by the way, does not allow mortgage interest to be
deducted at all, yet its home ownership rate matches ours.) If the
goal is to help people get into their own four walls, a tax credit
for principal paid by home buyers in the first few years of
ownership would do far more. For a home worth $100,000, for example,
such a credit could reduce income taxes by $2,000 a year for the
first two years and $1,000 annually for the next three, saving the
buyer $7,000.
***
MASON GAFFNEY
"Finance" is an
abstract term, though. How about identifying its members, with names
and specifics and degrees of influence? There are millions of small
pensioners who are the savers behind the firms who represent them.
MICHAEL HUDSON
Well, the problem IS abstract. It¹s
the idea of ³financializing² pensions, Social Security, etc.
These savers are part of a financial system that is itself not
necessary. Much as I like to engage in ad hominum arguments regarding
Georgists (where personalities DID scuttle Georgism), the financial
system is a structure that is itself the problem much as absentee land
ownership would be.
MASON GAFFNEY
Instead of pointing to
individuals, I¹d point to the lobbying behind rewriting the
bankruptcy laws. I guess Paulson and Bernanke behind the $8 trillion
bailout would qualify, topped by bubblemeister Greenspan. But even he
was only a shil for the system, which is what provided the vast sums
to finance the same public relations "think tanks" such as
American Enterprise, Cato etc that oppose land taxation as much as
they oppose financial reform.
MICHAEL HUDSON
What gives the FIRE sector its
power is the rising power of finance to act as central economic
planner. Georgists don¹t like landlords; but behind landlords
stand the financial interests.
MASON GAFFNEY
Mortgagees are a power, I agree;
some Georgists are inadequately aware of this, and you, Michael,
perform a useful role in raising their consciousness on the point. For
a symbol, the NAREB rents its D.C. offices from a labor union; the
Mortgage Bankers Assn (MBA) owns its own palatial building.
Be aware that J. Rupert Mason of
San Francisco, a patron of the HGSSS there, was hypersensitive on
municipal bonds and the conflict between them and holders of notes on
individual landholdings.
"Finance" is an
abstract term, though. How about identifying its members, with names
and specifics and degrees of influence? There are millions of small
pensioners who are the savers behind the firms who represent them.
MICHAEL HUDSON
Right, finance extracts interest
from revenue other than land rent. But 70% of bank loans are mortgage
loans.
MASON GAFFNEY
That is a recent cyclical
development. For several decades after the 1930s most bank assets were
U.S. bonds. I rather expect after the current shakeout we'll get back
to that situation.
MICHAEL HUDSON
RSF delegated total authority to
its ³project director² Cliff. His > position is therefore
their position.
MASON GAFFNEY
That was certainly true for a
while, to my surprise. Cliff has stepped down now, I couldn't say if
he still dominates the Board by some kind of hypnosis. I'm not sure
who's in charge now. Note, though, that Cliff seems to be a separate
power center from "the AIER crowd", so there has been some
rotation.
***
MASON GAFFNEY
Jeff, we've been through this
before, and you haven't budged, so I'll say it for others' sake,
briefly.
1. There's never been a time in
my experience or knowledge when many businesses did not borrow
routinely to meet their capital needs
2. If interest rates fell to
zero, as you theorize they might, land prices would rise to infinity
3. At zero interest no one need
work, you could borrow infinitely to consume infinitely.
***
JEFFERY SMITH
Mase, let's be thankful only
economists are reading this, not normal people.
1. Business behavior in an unjust
economy only approximates BB in a just economy. The amount of
borrowing could change. It could be replaced entirely by investing
once the playing field is level.
2. No need to theorize. Japan
once had lending rates even below zero. Prices of land nor anything
else did not rise to anywhere at all.
3. What works in an internal
mental system does not always work in an external reality. That's why
logic, theory, postulates all need testing. In algebra, you can make 1
= 0.
***
MASON GAFFNEY
Michael, Air IS a factor of
production, it is part of land.
What with cap and trade systems,
air is being partially privatized.
***
MICHAEL HUDSON
Mason, the Fed's interest rate
recently has been 0.25%. That's nearly zero, as it was in Japan after
1990. Land prices plunged in Japan at near-zero interest rates, and
are plunging now.
Shylock's loan was a
zero-interest loan, and the debtor still was liable for his pound of
flesh.
***
FRED FOLDVARY
In a pure market, entrepreneurs
seek to borrow funds in order to start or expand enterprise. Time
prefernece creates a quantity demanded for funds greater than the
quantity supplied from savings at a zero rate of interest. This
generates a positive rate of interest to clear the market for loanable
funds.
JEFFERY SMITH
The interest payment is
voluntarily agreed to because the benefits of having funds sooner is
greater than the interest expense. So in a pure market, interest does
not eat into other gains. In today's economy, government-granted
privileges to FIRE indeed siphon off rent and wages. But this is
subsidies rather than interest per se.
In a true free market, you may
have such a level playing field and so much savings and so little
old-fashioned growth that you could have more venture capitalists than
borrowers, so investors would merely expect a percentage, instead of a
fixed rate, and banks might not charge borrowers but depositors, like
like house-sitters can get paid, instead of tenants paying. So, your "interest"
can be a feature of an unfettered market but not a necessary or
exclusive feature.
***
MICHAEL HUDSON
Ok, Touche.
My focus is on the disparity
between price and cost-value. The difference is economic rent. I use "factor
of production" in the classical sense of entailing a cost that
must be covered for production to take place (wages and profit), not "return
to a class interest" (rentiers).
Our problem here is definitional.
We both agree on what's happening and on who gets what. The question
is, how best to chart it and explain it -- and for what policy
purposes (public collection of rent).
MICHAEL HUDSON
Mason, the Fed's interest rate
recently has been 0.25%. That's nearly zero, as it was in Japan after
1990. Land prices plunged in Japan at near-zero interest rates, and
are plunging now.
Shylock's loan was a
zero-interest loan, and the debtor still was liable for his pound of
flesh.
MASON GAFFNEY
Michael, the Fed's interest rate
you refer to has little to do with the rate at which you or I or most
people or firms can borrow. A zero i.r. as a general phenomenon would
mean anyone can borrow any amount for any term. Otherwise, when you
hit the limits, there is a positive i.r.
br> ***
MASON GAFFNEY
Jeff, If you'll seize on any
trumped-up excuse to throw out rational thought you become a cultist,
and forget about getting through to reasonable people. You could raise
up an army of cultists, as various politicians have demonstrated, but
they won't be Georgists. Economics entails balancing the books; this
entails arithmetic; algebra is just an elaboration on arithmetic,
where 2+2=4.
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