Promises To Pay Nothing In Particular: A Brief History of
Monetary Diseases And a Proposal for Their Cure
Edward J. Dodson
[January 2001 -- revised June 2001]
The year was 1919. In the United States, the annual meeting of the
American Bankers Association was held in the nation's capital.
Addressing this group of bankers, Yale University professor of
economics Irving Fisher presented his plan to stabilize the global
monetary system, integral to which was abandonment of the gold
standard. A year later, a government commission issued a report
rejecting Professor Fisher's proposals as involving "grave
dangers to the stability of our financial and monetary system."[1]
A considerable number of other economics professors, including E.R.A.
Seligman (Columbia University) and F.W. Taussig (Harvard University)
presented their own arguments in opposition to the reforms advocated
by Fisher. Taussig had long been on record with his views:
"There have been suggestions or dreams of
international paper money, -- some sort of universally accepted
token which should circulate between nations and within any one
nation, should be regulated in quantity and presumably in value on a
systematic plan, and should enable specie to be dispensed with as
money.
"The change is not unthinkable, and it appeals to those who
like abstract speculation and ideal construction. As a proposal of
anything practicable, it is not worth discussion. The nations of the
earth find it hard to come to agreement on much simpler matters, and
no international compact of this sort is now within the range of
possibility."[2]
We, today, have the opportunity to observe closely (or experience)
whether the several nation-states of the European continent and
British Isles can overcome their perceived self-interests in order to
achieve the general circulation of one form of paper currency and
coins as legal tender. A single paper currency certainly reduces
transaction costs and the necessity for hedging one's investments
against the potential of a currency devaluation. The victory is, I
believe, a hollow one so long as the exchange value of the composite
metals of the coins in circulation have no relation to the nominal
value stamped on the coins and the paper currency is backed by a
promise to pay nothing in particular.
Sustainable global commerce requires a medium of exchange possessing
the unique quality of having a broadly accepted and stable exchange
value. There has never been a paper currency blessed with this quality
over an extended period of time; and, in fact, even coins made of gold
and silver have historically required a considerable allocation of
time and energy to ensure the coins were in fact what they were
represented to be. The earliest coins were stamped with the image of a
king or god in an effort to add authority to claims of purity. All in
all, however, coinage served well as money despite the fraudulent
practices of clipping and a gradual reduction of gold or silver
content.
By the time of Alexander the Great, the drachma had become
the primary form of currency used throughout the Mediterranean and
even beyond. Conquest brought enormous quantities of precious metals
into Greece to be converted into coins for commerce. The monetary
expansion was matched by increases in the quantity and diversity of
goods and services being exchanged, so that the prices of goods in
terms of drachmas remained remarkably stable even after the
death of Alexander. Roman coins eventually displaced the Greek drachmas
as the world currency. Unfortunately, the Roman citizen's zest for
extravagance and the enormous drain on Rome's treasury eventually
brought ruin. Rome resorted to debasement of its coinage during the
reign of Nero. By the third century Roman coins contained just 5
percent silver and 95 percent copper. Roman coins lost there
purchasing power, of course, as word spread that the coins contained
less and less scarce precious metal.
We have all been taught the story of Rome's collapse and the
subsequent dramatic reduction in commerce between the peoples of the
Mediterranean. The most seriously affected were those who no longer
benefited by the flow of goods inland from the seaports. Coinage
disappeared from circulation and trade became localized. Gold and
silver were either hoarded by generation after generation of nobles or
were melted down for use in religious art. The Crusades and then the
Renaissance stimulated the reintroduction of coinage to accommodate
expanding commerce, but only in a few city-states did the mints and
the governors see to it that the coinage was not debased. Not
unexpectedly, prices for goods and services in terms of almost all
coinage kept rising. Only the introduction of relatively scarce gold
coins gave to commerce some semblance of stability. Then, in the
fifteenth century the system was once again turned on its head.
Spain's conquest of the southern hemisphere of the Americas upset
this delicate balance. Spain produced very little of what its nobility
consumed. Gold and silver flowed through Spanish hands to European
markets. Prices climbed because the Spanish could, in effect, outbid
everyone else for what they wanted, while the methods of producing
goods had not yet resulted in the means to meet increased demand.
However, the market did respond by introducing improved means of
settling accounts between trading partners without having to deliver
more and more gold or silver bullion or coinage over long distances.
The bank of deposit appeared to grease the wheels of commerce. An
honest banker was someone who issued certificates in exchange for the
deposit of coins of known weight and metallic content, redeemable to
the depositor or assignee. For this service, the banker earned a fee.
Money, in the form of coinage (or bullion converted into coinage) was
held until the certificate was returned. The certificates soon became
the method for recording exchanges between merchants, with banks of
deposit protecting the money supply.
The system of sound money was subjected to constant dilution. The
kings and princes of Europe found it increasingly difficult to pay for
overseas adventures or warfare by means of taxation. We need only
remember that a long list of tax-resistant nobles forced the Magna
Charta on their king. Peasants had little to be taxed, at any rate,
and the nobility and church were either exempt from taxation or
resisted with their own force of arms. Would-be conquerors
increasingly found themselves forced to hire mercenaries to fight for
them. To pay for these armies, they were forced to borrow from the
wealthy by having the bankers sell bonds, promising to repay the
bondholders with the gold and silver taken as the trophies of war.
Many bondholders and some bankers found that collecting on these debts
was often impossible. Either the king was killed in battle, captured
by the enemy or was forced into exile. In any case, the bondholders
were left with worthless paper. Committing to repay loans at higher
interest rates worked in some cases to help separate fools from their
money. Threats also helped. Another approach was to issue
nonredeemable paper notes, declare these notes to be legal tender and
use force to require producers of goods and services to accept them as
payment. One of the more interesting tactics was tried in 1640 by
England's king, Charles I, who simply confiscated for his own use the
stock of gold and silver stored by merchants in the Tower of London.
We know what happened to Charles.
Nor could the goldsmiths turned bankers be fully trusted with money
deposits. They gradually circulated their own notes that looked
suspiciously like certificates of deposit. Thus, although the money
supply remained stable, the claims on that money were fraudulently
expanded by the bankers. In both instances, kings and bankers
attempted with varying degrees of success to engage in the
self-creation of credit (i.e., the theft of purchasing power from the
legitimate owners of money) and thereby get away with exchanging no
goods or services of their own in return for goods and services
acquired from others. Critics courageous enough to challenge the
status quo recognized the need to create monetary institutions that
would be audited and otherwise subject to oversight. Otherwise, fraud
and corruption would continue and the global economy could not expand.
One clear example exists for us to learn from as we contemplate
whether and how the modern issuance of legal tender currency by
central banks ought to be restructured. This is the story of the Bank
of Amsterdam, chartered in 1609 to mint coinage of a standard metallic
content from the hundreds of different coins then in circulation. The
Bank's income consisted of a fee charged for this service.
Additionally, the Bank accepted deposits of gold and silver, issuing
certificates of ownership to the depositors who could then assign
these certificates to others in payment for goods and services. The
integrity of the Bank of Amsterdam lasted until late in the
seventeenth century, when as a result of the connivance of the Bank's
directors the bank tried to become a lending institution without
actually having money of its own to lend. Bank notes substituted for
certificates of deposit and circulated from borrower to merchant to
merchant until it became clear that the bank was issuing these notes
without having the corresponding quantity of money in its vault.
Certificate holders presented their claims on money for redemption but
the Bank had been playing a shell game and they were unable to settle
their accounts with depositors. Discounting of the Bank's notes
resulted in the withdrawal of money by depositors and the Bank's
eventual collapse in 1819.
Across the channel in Britain, English investors sought to replicate
the success of the Dutch by establishing their own bank, the Bank of
England. The Bank of England began operations in 1694 but from the
very beginning served not as a bank of deposit but as a lending
institution. A special charter granted to the Bank the authority to
issue its own notes without having to hold money. The English
government promised noteholders that if the Bank was unable to redeem
the notes for money, the government would do so. Eventually, the Bank
was given the responsibility of holding England's gold reserves and
became the nation's central bank. The next step in the partnership
between the Bank and government occurred in 1844, when an Act of
Parliament made the Bank's notes legal tender. By law, the Bank's
issuance of notes was subject to strict controls but there was no
requirement that the Bank act as a bank of deposit. Ricardo, for one,
saw nothing inherently troubling about the operation of the Bank of
England. "Though it [paper currency] has no intrinsic value, yet,
by limiting its quantity its value in exchange is as great as an equal
denomination of coin, or of bullion in that coin,"[3] wrote
Ricardo. And, in terms of aggregate purchasing power Ricardo is
correct; however, what his silence accepts is the legitimacy of law
that permits the self-creation of credit and the transference of
purchasing power from owners of money to those granted privilege.
Moreover, his assertion is also dependent upon the free circulation of
bank notes and certificates of deposit at all times equal to the total
value of money held on deposit. In other words, some quantity of bank
notes and certificates of deposit must be held out of the competitive
bidding for goods and services. Ricardo thought the supply of paper
currency could be adequately managed, at least in England:
"
in a free country, with an enlightened
legislature, the power of issuing paper money, under the requisite
checks of convertibility at the will of the holder, might be safely
lodged in the hands of commissioners appointed for that special
purpose, and they might be made totally independent of the control
of ministers."[4]
He made no comment about the experiment conducted by several of
Britain's North American colonies during the middle of the previous
century. Prohibited from minting coinage of their own, the colonial
legislatures issued paper currency back by the one asset readily
available - land.
Ricardo seems to have possessed a good deal of faith in his nation's
bureaucracy; and, perhaps, in the banker as businessman. Bankers tried
to reduce their exposure to losses and runs on their companies by
requiring borrowers to provide as collateral real assets valued in
excess of the nominal (i.e., stated) value of bank notes issued. More
than a century later, after repeated panics, the failure of too many
banks to be counted and long periods of economic downturn, John
Maynard Keynes celebrated what he hoped was the end of "the age
of Commodity Money,"[5]:
"Gold has ceased to be a coin, a hoard, a tangible
claim to wealth, of which the value cannot slip away so long as the
hand of the individual clutches the material stuff. It has become a
much more abstract thing - just a standard of value; and it only
keeps this nominal status by being handed round from time to time in
quite small quantities amongst a group of Central Banks, on the
occasions when one of them has been inflating or deflating its
managed representative money in a different degree from what is
appropriate to the behaviour of its neighbours."[6]
The central bank also provided government with an enhanced capacity
to wage war without taxing the wealthy and powerful. Governments found
it much easier to sell war bonds that paid interest, then rely on a
combination of taxation of producers and commerce and additional
shifting of purchasing power to themselves by means of increasing the
circulation of legal tender. From the end of the eighteenth century
until 1821, for example, notes issued by the Bank of England were
backed by nothing. Gold was then returned as the system's reserve form
of money. But, there was never any thought of restricting the Bank to
the role of a bank of deposit. Across the Atlantic Ocean, the
European-Americans living south of British Canada and north of Spanish
Mexico were too busy settling the frontier, conquering indigenous
tribal societies, protecting their claims to state citizenship from an
encroaching Federalism and practicing unbridled individualism to give
appropriate attention to the creation of a system of sound money and
banking.
The Constitution of the United States reserved the right of minting
coinage to the Federal government, and in 1792 the legislation was
passed adopting standards for the nation's coinage. Both gold and
silver coins became legal tender, although a shortage of these
precious metals contributed to the expanded use of paper currency and
prolonged debate over the necessity and wisdom of its use. Pressure
exerted by a currency-starved population brought about the demise of
the Second Bank of the United States in 1836, the closest thing to a
central bank to that point in the United States. By 1860, there were
more than 1,500 banks in operation, each printing its own paper
currency with little gold or silver coinage or bullion held on deposit
to back these notes. A reform of sorts was implemented in 1864, under
which banks were required to hold government bonds in an amount
exceeding the nominal value of bank notes issued. A question my
research has not been able to answer is what the United States
government accepted as payment for these government bonds. In 1900 the
Federal government adopted the gold standard, requiring that banks be
prepared to redeem their bank notes for gold upon request. The
problems nevertheless continued, resulting in the passage of the
Federal Reserve Act in 1913.
The Federal Reserve System mandated that all banks chartered by the
Federal government become members of the new system. Twelve Federal
Reserve Banks were chartered to serve different parts of the United
States. Commercial banks became members by purchasing shares of stock
in the Federal Reserve Bank equal to 3 percent of the prospective
member bank's capital. Much has been written about the establishment
of the Federal Reserve System. Virtually nothing has been written
about the method by which the Federal Reserve Bank's were capitalized.
Real reform would have required that commercial banks purchase gold
and silver coinage (or bullion sent to the mint for conversion into
coinage) and deliver this money to the Federal Reserve Bank.
The par value of a share of stock in the Federal Reserve Bank would,
then, equal a monetary unit of gold or so many monetary units of
silver. Most commercial banks would have had to purchase money because
very little money backed the quantity of bank notes in circulation.
And, in fact, there was no way to determine what the true capital
position of the commercial banks might be. These banks were ostensibly
required to be prepared to redeem their notes in gold but there was no
mechanism for enforcement. If too many holders of a bank's notes
presented them for redemption, the bank would not be able to honor the
demands and be forced to close its doors. Calling in loans would have
no benefit unless the obligations to the bank were repayable not with
bank notes but in coinage or bullion.
At the dawn of the age of paper currency, the new government of the
United States had set the standard gold content of its coins according
to the content of the Spanish silver dollar. Thus, a ten dollar gold
coin contained a quantity of gold in proportion to its value against
silver -- 232.2 grains of gold. A bank of deposit would have issued a
certificate of deposit with a stated value equal to the number of
dollars held. "The money of any particular country is, at any
particular time and place," observed Adam Smith, "more or
less exactly agreeable to its standard, or contains more or less
exactly the precise quantity of pure gold or pure silver which it
ought to contain."[7] If we hold Smith to his terminology, only a
certificate of deposit with a stated value in terms of the gold and or
silver content of money held by the bank circulates as a legitimate
claim on money. The commercial banks in virtually every society were
permitted to abrogate this obligation, with government a willing
collaborator.
The law creating the Federal Reserve Banks required that the Banks
hold in reserve gold equal to a minimum of 40 percent of the stated
value of the notes in circulation. Initially, Federal Reserve Bank
notes (secured by U.S. government bonds) competed with other paper
currencies. The economic collapse of the 1930s so threatened the
financial system of the United States that emergency measures were
passed in 1933 that totally severed the issuance of Federal Reserve
Bank notes from the holding of gold reserves. Moreover, the private
holding of gold coins or gold bullion was made illegal. All "one
dollar" gold coins had to be sold to the United States government
for the fixed price of a Federal Reserve Bank note with a stated value
of one dollar. The new law also designated Federal Reserve Bank notes
the only form of paper currency to be circulated as legal tender. The
Federal Reserve Banks were, at the same time, authorized to print
without restriction new Federal Reserve Bank notes for the purchase of
U.S. government obligations. By this remarkable flight of fantasy, the
United States government shifted purchasing power from private holders
of Federal Reserve Bank notes to itself by orchestrating an increase
in the quantity of notes in circulation. As always, the general price
increase that subsequently occurred was felt most by those who held
title to no land and few material assets. In 1934, one of the great
monetary economists of his day, Edwin W. Kemmerer, concluded: "All
things considered, these Federal Reserve Bank notes are probably the
weakest link in our monetary chain."[8]
Desperate times had demanded desperate action, and desperate men
decided time after time that debtors - and government debtors, in
particular - should not be called upon to do the right things (e.g.,
shifting to location rent as the primary source of public revenue, and
imposing taxation on those with the greatest ability to pay for any
shortfall that might remain). As a consequence of the First World War,
the Federal government made extensive use of its powers to self-create
credit by exchanging its debt obligations for Federal Reserve Bank
notes. U. S. government bonds also had been sold to acquire the
remainder of needed revenue. The result was a five-fold increase in
the "dollar" volume of Federal Reserve Bank notes put into
circulation. Gresham would not have been surprised that the quantity
of gold coins and certificates nearly disappeared from exchange (on
top of which, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York made a determined
effort to replace all gold coins and certificates with the Bank's
notes). To counter the inflationary effects of this swift change to a
new standard form of paper currency, the Federal Reserve Banks nearly
doubled the rate of interest member banks were charged to borrow
funds. Such a dramatic increase in the cost of borrowing could not be
absorbed by producers or passed on to consumers. Soon, the United
States was experiencing an economic contraction and an official
unemployment rate of 12 percent. Was this the fault of the Fed's
action to raise the discount rate or was the nation already on the
road to recession? Harry Gunnison Brown, for one, thought the primary
sources of the recession were to be found elsewhere:
"Despite the possible importance of velocity of
circulation as a derivative factor, I believe we shall do well not
to assume that it has any especial importance in initiating either
rising prices or falling prices. And I believe we ought not to
expect to find in velocity of circulation of money and bank credit
an important influence in the initiation of business depression."[9]
From the perspective of the issues being addressed in this paper,
velocity (and the subordinate challenge of calculating the so-called
money supply) is irrelevant. What is most important is the fact that
there is no longer in the system by this time any such thing as actual
money deposits. Whether most economists knew it or not, the United
States had entered a new era that -- in lieu of concrete structural
reforms -- demanded an ever-expanding range of fiscal and monetary
interventionist powers, accompanied by the willingness of citizens to
absorb a combination of heavier and heavier taxation and a constant,
and at times accelerated, erosion of purchasing power of savings. The
need for managed economies was artificially created, but the
mechanisms for achieving the appropriate outcome -- full employment
without inflation -- were absent from the managers' toolkit.
Keynes concluded that the instability of the early 1920s could not
have been avoided. This was another consequence of the enormity of the
First World War. Returning to pre-war conditions was neither possible
nor desirable. "When
the depreciation of the currency has
lasted long enough for Society to adjust itself to the new values,
Deflation is even worse than inflation," he wrote. "Both are
'unjust' and disappoint reasonable expectation. But whereas Inflation,
by easing the burden of national debt and stimulating enterprise, has
a little to throw into the other side of the balance, Deflation has
nothing."[10] He also stated part of the case I believe should
have carried the day:
"The advocates of gold
base their cause on
the double contention that in practice gold has been provided and
will provide a reasonably stable standard of value and that in
practice, since governing authorities lack wisdom as often as not, a
managed currency will sooner or later, come to grief."[11]
Of course, Keynes was in no sense thinking in the same terms I have
described; namely, the chartering of new banks of deposit as the
foundation of our monetary system. He expressed a concern over the
hoarding of precious metals, even by governments. Severing currency
from gold seems to have eliminated hoarding altogether today. People
invest in gold or silver as a hedge against inflation and to protect
themselves from losing everything should the market value of equities
and bonds disappear in a prolonged economic depression. The argument
is made, therefore, that precious metals are no longer needed for the
establishment and protection of a sound money supply. In a very real
sense the global economy has imposed stiff penalties on governments
and central banks that practice what the law permits. There are many
strong economies in today's world, and exchange rates between legal
tender currencies float freely, changing daily. A government that
causes too much paper currency to be added to the supply in
circulation risks causing a "run to quality" (i.e., to the
currencies of more investor-friendly countries).
Along with a more or less level playing field for producers of goods
and services, the rapid expansion of electronic banking is
significantly reducing the need for coinage and paper currency. We are
not that many years away from majority use of debit cards to purchase
goods and services. Business-to-business, business-to-government, and
even government-to-government commerce is overwhelmingly electronic
today. All that is needed is for bank account totals to become a claim
on a specific quantity of money and no longer a nominal value subject
to being destroyed by the failure of a government to act wisely and
justly. The need for money itself to be in circulation - and any
concern over a shortage in the supply of precious metals -- is also
lessened by the development of systems of electronic barter, the
intermediate stage of which is already well underway.
As in so many other discussions of political economy, we can turn to
the writings of Henry George for a bit of wisdom, even about money.
George makes the observation: "Since labor is
the real and
universal measure of value, whatever any country may use as the common
measure of value can impose little difficulty upon the exchanges of
its people with the people of other countries using other common
measures of value. Nor yet would any change within a country from one
common measure of value to another common measure of value bring more
than slight disturbance were it not for the effect upon credits or
obligations."[12] Gold and silver, made into coins, had for a
very long served as this common measure of value. George also saw that
far more commerce could be conducted by barter than was commonly
believed:
"[I]t is not necessary to an exchange that both
sides of it shall be effected at once or with the same person. One
part or side of the full exchange may be effected at once, and the
effecting of the other part or side may be deferred to a future time
and transferred to another person or persons by means of trust or
credit."[13]
George also knew history well enough to know that neither "princes"
nor "republics" could resist the temptation to engage in the
fraudulent self-creation of credit, whether by debasement of the
coinage or by using a central bank to issue notes and require others
to accept them as legal tender. The lesson learned, the solution is to
unleash competitive forces to use sound money as the means of driving
out unbacked, central bank issued legal tender. Banks of deposit are
the cornerstones of this process. Electronic exchanges and transfers
will make it possible. When individuals and businesses become members
of these banks, they can engage in a system of exchange absent float
and absent exposure to currency devaluations. In time, governments
will be forced to become members and relinquish their long cherished
privilege of being able to self-create credit. Sound money will have
arrived. Kemmerer, perhaps, saw into what ought to become:
"All in all, under present-day economic political
conditions in America, a price level anchored to a commodity of
universal demand, such as gold -- a commodity of which there is
always an enormous marketable supply, and of which the annual
product is but a petty percentage of the world's accumulated stock
-- is likely to be much more stable and dependable than a price
level controlled by any such mechanism as that of the commodity
dollar."[14]
REFERENCES AND FOOTNOES
[1] Report by U.S. Currency
Commission, issued October 1920. Excerpt reprinted in: A. Barton
Hepburn. A History of Currency in the United States [New York:
Augustus M. Kelley edition, 1967, p.478. Originally published by The
Macmillan Co., 1924].
[2] Frank W. Taussig. Principles of Economics, Vol. I [New York: The
Macmillan Company, 1911], p.326.
[3] David Ricardo. The Principles of Political Economy & Taxation
[London: J. M. Dent & Sons Co., 1911. Originally published 1817.,
pp. 238-239.
[4] David Ricardo. Ibid., p. 245.
[5] John Maynard Keynes. "The Return to Gold," Essays In
Persuasion [New York: W. W. Norton & Company edition, 1963.
Originally published, 1931.], p. 184.
[6] John Maynard Keynes. Ibid.
[7] Adam Smith. The Wealth of Nations [New York: Random House
edition, 1737. Originally published 1776], p.46.
[8] Edwin W. Kemmerer. Kemmerer On Money [Chicago: John C. Winston
Company, 1934], p. 26. Note: The author was Professor of International
Finance, Princeton University and was a former President of the
American Economic Association.
[9] Harry Gunnison Brown. "Policies for Full Post-War
Employment," American Journal of Economics and Sociology [New
York: Robert Schalkenbach Foundation]. Reprinted in a collection of
Brown's essays, with the title Fiscal Policy, Taxation and Free
Enterprise. Undated, p. 40.
[10] John Maynard Keynes. "The Return To Gold," Essays In
Persuasion, pp. 192-193.
[11] John Maynard Keynes. Ibid., p.200.
[12] Henry George. The Science of Political Economy [New York: Robert
Schalkenbach Foundation edition, 1968. Originally published 1897], p.
503.
[13] Henry George. Ibid., p. 509. [14] Edwin W. Kemmerer. Kemmerer On
Money, p. 152.
|