Comments on the Paper:
The Rise and Fall of Housing's Favored Investment Status
by Patric H. Hendershoot and Michael White (University of Aberdeen,
Scotland)
Edward J. Dodson
[The Rise and Fall of Housing's Favored Investment Status was
published in the Journal of Housing Research, Volume 11, Issue
2, 2007]
The authors of this paper examine the impact of "taxation and
subsidization of investment in owner-occupied and rental housing,"
concluding as follows: "Worldwide, the fundamental subsidy to
owner- occupied housing is that the returns -- imputed rents and
capital gains -- are very lightly taxed. In countries allowing the
home mortgage interest deduction, the tax advantage is extended to
lower-wealth households who cannot finance their houses totally with
equity. ... Given the light taxation of owner-occupied housing, the
only available way to limit the subsidy is to adopt a flatter tax rate
schedule with fewer deductions."
This paper is worth reading (and can be downloaded from the Fannie
Mae Foundation website). The authors seem to have a rather good
understanding of how real world markets actually work and how public
policy influences housing markets. With respect to tax policy they
state two principles worthy of discussion. One, is the "[c]apital
gains taxes should be levied as the gains accrue, not when they are
realized, and at the full regular income tax rate." Another is
that "[a]ll capital goods should be taxed similarly. ... More
specifically, if owner-occupied housing is largely untaxed ... then
other capital should also be lightly taxed." They do, of course,
define what they include in their definition of "capital."
The authors reference a 1999 study published by the National Tax
Association (U.S.) that concluded "all owner-occupied housing
subsidies are fully capitalized into urban land prices" so that "declines
in real after-tax interest rates, including those caused by the
introduction of interest rate subsidies, would raise land prices, not
housing consumption and the homeownership rate." Hendershott and
White comment that this conclusion "would not hold in less urban
areas where additional land can be readily developed." I am not
clear whether they are thinking of gross vacant land available for
development, or the net amount not held for speculation by investors
with deep pockets.
Another study referred to by the authors touches on a subject I have
thought about, which is the reduced mobility of labor where
homeownership rates are very high. Thus, in a recessionary downturn a
region's level of unemployment would tend to remain higher when
unemployed workers have mortgage obligations and must dispose of a
home rather than simply relocating at the expiration of an apartment
lease.
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