Land Reform in the Real World
William S. Peirce
[Reprinted from Land & Liberty,
January-February 1986.
William S. Peirce is Professor of Economics
at Cape Western Reserve University, Cleveland, Ohio]
LAND REFORMS are usually adopted for social and political reasons,
but they do have economic implications. In particular, the way that
rural land is controlled can affect its productivity -- and that means
the amount of food that is available for the hungry population or the
quantity of agricultural commodities that can be exported to earn the
foreign exchange necessary for development. Furthermore, if the state
expropriates land, the confidence of investors in the security of
other investments may be shaken also.
SOME ECONOMIC PRINCIPLES
If one observes a prosperous family farm it is difficult to pinpoint
a single source of the prosperity. The family may receive the rent
from inherited land that is particularly fertile and well located. The
family may earn interest on a substantial accumulation of its own
capital in such forms as buildings, machinery, draintiles, or
irrigation ditches. The family may also profit by assuming the risk of
borrowing capital to use on the farm.
The family may earn a substantial managerial salary by making shrewd
decisions about new seeds, fertilizers, and pesticides. The family may
earn wages for many hours of work by having several family members
work long hours. Family members may earn high wages by working very
intensely and directing their efforts toward productive farming,
rather than devising ways to shirk productive work or supervising
those who are trying to shirk, as is common in large establishments.
From an economic view, society will be better off if it can arrange
to have such intense and well directed efforts as the prosperous
family farm exemplifies. The conditions under which agriculture will
be pursued so efficiently are, however, quite special, so it is worth
identifying the prerequisites for efficiency. On the family farm the
decisions are made and the work is done by the decision-making unit
that enjoys the fruits of the labor. Thus the powerful force of self
interest serves to keep all participants performing as they should.
Referring to the "family" as a single decision-making unit
begs the question of how large the group can be. This depends not so
much on family relationship as ordinarily defined as on the people
involved and their culture and institutions. Some people pursue only
their own interest even in a group of two, whereas others may pursue
the group interest in a
kibbutz of 100 people. Whatever the number in a particular
case, beyond some size the individual ceases to act mainly in the
interest of the group.[1]
TRADITIONAL LAND REFORM
It is tempting to think of land reform as a device for obtaining the
advantages of the family farm in a society that has somehow gone awry.
Isn't that what "land to the tiller" means, anyway? The
vision of the good and efficient society is particularly seductive
when it is accompanied by statistics showing that 2% of the households
own 60% of the land. To drive the point home, pictures of uncultivated
acres will be juxtaposed with pictures of landless peasants huddled in
misery.
The problem is certainly real and serious, but that does not mean
that the suggested solution is appropriate. In order to know that, we
must look not only at the problem and the aims of the reform, but also
at what actually happens when the reform is implemented.[2]
Yes, conventional patterns of landholding are sometimes both unjust
and inefficient, but should a reform be adopted if it will reduce
agricultural output and leave the average peasant worse off? Most
people would reject the "reform" under those conditions, so
it is worth examining what actually happens when land reforms are
undertaken in the real world.
IN EL SALVADOR, Phase 1 of the reform consisted of expropriating
large estates (exceeding 500 hectares) and using the land to establish
co-operative farms.[3] The farms were to pay interest and amortization
on the debt, while the former landlords were compensated with long
term bonds.
Obviously, compensation can be set above or below the actual market
value of the land. Compensation will probably be less than market
value in a typical expropriation and will usually be paid in
government bonds, which will be partly repudiated by inflation.[4]
Assume for the moment, however, that the price to the buyer and
compensation to the seller equal actual market value. The recipient
will be able to pay off the debt only if he can generate at least as
much income from the farm as could a farm owner of average ability.
The Phase I reform, under this criterion, appears unpromising
inasmuch as the large holdings were transformed into cooperatives. Not
only do large cooperatives always encounter problems in obtaining
strong management and in keeping members from shirking, in the case of
El Salvador it is not even clear whether current members of the
cooperatives have ownership rights that can be sold.
Such uncertainties (to say nothing of those resulting from civil war
and political turmoil) inhibit the long-term investments and careful
stewardship that are crucial to agricultural productivity. It is not
surprising that most Phase I cooperatives in El Salvador are
failing.[5] Could any economist have forecast success?
At first glance. "Phase III" of the land reform in El
Salvador appears more promising. (Phase II, which would have
expropriated large family farms, was abandoned.) The "land to the
tiller" decree permitted tenants and sharecroppers to apply for
provisional titles to the land that they had been farming. The
inherent inefficiencies of the collective farm were not an issue, but
other harsh realities did intrude.
In the first place, the owners of many expropriated small farms were
not the handful of hereditary landowners of large estates, but rather
the upwardly mobile small farmers and merchants who saw the purchase
of small farms as good investments. Such people are both comparatively
numerous and extremely vigorous in defense of their property.[6]
The expropriation created uncertainty about property rights in
general as well as land tenure in particular. Indeed, only about
50,000 of the estimated 117,000 farmers eligible to claim land under
Phase III did so, and about one-third of those who filed claims did
not end up with land because they were threatened or evicted or they
moved away.[7]
TRADITIONAL land reforms are not identical in different countries,
but the U.S. Agency for International Development and the World Bank
have promoted an integrated package that includes land reform,
agricultural finance, technical assistance, and provision of seeds,
fertilizers, and pesticides.
Such a plan may sound attractive until one realizes that the result
is to replace a market of competing middlemen with a handful of
bureaucrats and a franchised monopolist. The results that Grace
Goodell reported for the Philippines suggest that "land reform"
was just an excuse for the corrupt sale of privileges to the
politically favored.[8] Perhaps Goodell's example is an extreme case,
but it seems wise to assume that all governments include some
corruptible people.
The fundamental problem with traditional land reform is that it
defies the economic market, as well as the balance of political power.
(Even the political problems have economic implications because
resistance to the reforms, as occurred in El Salvador, leads to
instability of tenure and insecurity of investment.)
If markets are functioning reasonably well one should expect land
and other economic inputs to come under the control of the individuals
who can make the best use of them. If one assumes that people are
reasonably intelligent and effective at pursuing their own interests,
then what role is left for government in determining land ownership?
It is traditional for economists to call upon government to improve
the efficiency of the market, but this may necessitate some surprising
recommendations.
- If, for example, small farmers are able to obtain mortgages
only at outrageously high interest rates, the solution may be to
change the laws to make it easier for mortgage lenders to
foreclose and hence to attract more money into that market.
- If laws or customs (such as primogeniture) inhibit the sale of
land to those who can use it best, or if tenure is so insecure
that ownership becomes unnecessarily risky, then government has a
role in correcting such imperfections.
FUNDAMENTAL LAND REFORM
If the government limits itself to reducing such minor imperfections,
it will appear to be taking insufficient action; indeed, one should
not expect much improvement from such steps. On the other hand, the
traditional land reform as promoted by U.S. Agency for International
Development does not get at the roots of the problem and causes
serious difficulties of its own.
Taking land from one person (with or without some payment) to give to
another has to inflict some costs. If it did not, the individuals
could have arranged the transaction on their own. The assumption that
the forced transaction improves justice requires that the gains of the
buyer exceed the costs borne by the seller. The transaction will
almost certainly reduce output unless markets have been extremely
ineffective in putting resources under the control of the most
productive managers.
Even if opportunities for gains in efficiency are present, the
likelihood that they can be achieved by an instrument as blunt as a
law seems small. After all, the existence of vast acreage in the hands
of one landowner may indicate either the great economic power of that
landowner or the poor quality of the land. In the latter case, giving
the property to a few hundred peasants is more likely to lead to
bankruptcy, soil erosion, and poverty than to social justice and
efficiency.
If the conventional type of land reform is too blunt and
imperfect, are we to do nothing at all? Perhaps it is worthwhile to
list the objectives and then to see whether there is an approach to
them that is more promising than traditional land reform.
SECURITY: Whatever reforms are adopted should encourage the
feeling of security of tenure for the landowner. Security of tenure is
vital in inducing the landowner to improve the land. Insecurity, by
contrast, encourages him to "mine out" the land by
permitting erosion, decline of fertility and deterioration of
improvements.
The fragile jungle or mountain soils to which many of the less
developed countries will have to resort require a particularly long
time horizon if they are not to be ruined. A problem with traditional
land reform is that expropriation is a powerful signal of the
insecurity of land titles.
EFFICIENCY: It is particularly important in poor countries
that land be managed by the most efficient managers in the most
efficient way. Any reform should help to speed the adjustment of land
tenure arrangements to changing technology, prices, and other
variables. It is inconceivable that traditional land reform could be
sufficiently flexible over time and place to allow for the variety of
farm sizes and employment relationships that are appropriate to the
diverse conditions in even a small country.
While a family-sized farm remains the appropriate scale of operation
for many situations, in other circumstances economies of scale, poor
soil quality, or the requirements of particular crops may call for
huge spreads with a large investment in equipment, structures, or
improvements to the land.
It is unlikely that the cooperative form of ownership would lead to
the most efficient management of a large operation, but in any event
the land reform should encourage efficiency, rather than predisposing
to a particular form of organization or scale of output.
JUSTICE: From an economic view, as well as a moral one, the
reform should facilitate rather than compel. Size of the holding is
not a measure of the justice of the claim to the title nor are
legislators and bureaucrats experts on agricultural techniques.
State monopolies are no more gentle than private ones. Individuals
left to their own devices will eventually move toward efficient
solutions; so if we can arrange matters in such a way that we are
comfortable with the justice of the outcome, we are better off relying
on the market rather than the government.
PRESSURE: Compulsion is also an inferior technique because it
does not exert steady pressure in the right direction. Traditional
land reforms inevitably take the form of random shocks. If the timing
of a reform were predictable everyone would try to unload his land --
and to extract the returns from his improvements -- before the reform.
The ideal reform would apply unremitting pressure year in and year
out to move land into the control of the person who can make the most
productive use of it. Furthermore, the ideal reform would not compel
sales, and it would reward the seller for any improvements he has
made.
LABOUR: In the quest for efficiency, as well as justice, it is
important to distinguish between the returns to land and the returns
to hard work, accumulation of capital, or superior management.
Landowners in El Salvador lost the herds they had built up and the
capital they had invested, as well as the land. It is not the creation
of wealth that the State should penalize. On the other hand, the State
could tax away the economic rent of land without damaging incentives.
TAXING RENT AS A LAND REFORM
It is the distinction between the return to land and the returns to
the other inputs that provides the key to a meaningful, permanent, and
continuing reform of land tenure arrangements. The return to
unimproved land is described as economic rent. The economic rent of
agricultural land varies with its location and fertility.
By taxing away most of the economic rent the State could gain the
efficiency for which it strives vainly in traditional land reforms, as
well as satisfying most views of fairness (after an initial transition
period).
The greatest obstacle to the transfer of agricultural land into the
control of the most efficient managers (aside from barriers erected by
law or custom, which the government must eliminate in any event) is
its price. The young, energetic, and efficient farmer cannot obtain
title to the land until he has saved his money for many years. By the
time he can buy it, he may no longer be energetic enough to put the
extra effort into long-term improvements like drainage, irrigation,
and terracing.
Agricultural land is thus less likely to be used efficiently than is
urban land, where ownership is less closely related to efficient use.
Taxing the economic rent of land will reduce the sales price to a
level that more people can afford (see box), but the high annual tax
makes the land too expensive to hold for anyone but an efficient
producer.
By reducing the market price of the land, the tax on economic rent
makes it possible for the energetic and efficient managers of each
generation to acquire the land, without being bound by the dead hand
of the past. At the same time, those who can no longer manage their
property effectively are given a continuing incentive to sell because
of the unremitting pressure of the annual tax.
In-as-much as the tax on economic rent would be set up as a permanent
program, rather than an unpredictable revolution, the incentives to
improve property would not be damaged. The tax ideally would be
assessed on the pure economic rent or the raw value of the land, not
on the improvements, so the improvements would still bring full market
value when sold.
A PERFECT TAX on economic rent requires perfect assessment of the
value of the raw land. Since perfection is unattainable, it is
important to consider the feasibility of taxing economic rent in
comparison with the implementation problems of traditional land
reform.
The first point to consider is that an accurate cadastral survey is
fundamental to any kind of land reform, or indeed to
protection of existing land tenure in a rapidly changing
economy. Four years after its "reform" El Salvador still had
not surveyed the expropriated property and established the amount and
value of land involved.
It is possible, however, to design self-assessment incentives into a
tax on economic rent. For example, a landowner would lose all claim to
his land unless he registered a declaration of extent and land value.
The assessed values could be mapped for a check of consistency, and
sales records would always provide some check of market values. The
landowner would still have an incentive to state a low value, but the
degree of resistance to reassessment would be far lower than in
traditional reforms where the owner loses all claims to the land and
its improvements.
Another virtue of the taxation of economic rent is that the reform
can be imposed as rapidly or as gradually as is desired. Immediate
institution of a tax on economic rent would destroy most of the
private value of raw land and hence is similar to expropriation in
that respect. If the land were all owned by hereditary drones, or the
nation were truly threatened by impending revolution, immediate and
full taxation of economic rent could be an acceptable solution.
Phasing in the tax over a ten-year period, however, offers many
advantages. While the selling price of land would drop quickly because
of the expected tax increases, those who had borrowed in good faith to
buy land would have time to recoup their investments. Furthermore, the
incentives to improve land and the security of tenure would take
effect immediately. The increased efficiency would mitigate the impact
on the wealth of energetic and skilful landowners.
All in all, taxation of economic rent offers a superior solution to
the problems that have often been assumed to require expropriation and
forced redistribution of land.
- By relying on markets, rather than coercion, taxation of
economic rent is consistent with individual liberty.
- By creating the appropriate incentives, taxation of economic
rent would encourage the voluntary sale of land to those who would
use it most efficiently.
- It would impose less arduous tasks on the bureaucracy and
create less severe political stresses than a traditional land
reform.
- Finally, it would provide revenue to the government, rather
than worsening the budgetary problems as conventional reforms do.
SIMPLE BENEFITS The connection between rent and sales price
of land is simple, but so important that it is worth spelling out.
Ordinarily, the market price of the land will be the present value of
the net returns that prospective buyers think it will earn.
"Present value" means that the future returns must be
discounted to allow for the interest rate. That is, if a person
expects to receive $110 one year from now and the interest rate is
10%, the present value of the payment is $100. If he had the $100
today, he could invest it at 10% and it would grow to $110 a year from
now.
Similarly, the present value of a payment of $110 for which one must
wait two years is $90.91, because in two years' time it will grow to
$110.
More generally, the present value of a payment to be received
t years in the future is the future value divided by (I + i)',
where / is the interest rate.
A piece of land is usually expected to yield not one return but an
infinite series.
If each return is the same, and the interest rate remains constant,
then the market price of the parcel of land is the annual rent divided
by the interest rate. That is, if property is expected to yield $100
per year forever and the interest rate is 10%, the market price will
be $1,000.
Suppose that a tax were levied which took $90 of the $100 rent each
year. If the tax is expected to be permanent, the market price of the
land is also reduced by 90%. This is the essential feature of the tax
on economic rent that makes it an effective land reform.
NOTES
- This analysis is fully
developed in Mancur Olson, The Logic of Collective Action
(Cambridge, Massachusetts: Harvard University Press, 1965).
- For an attempt to identify the
range of activities that can successfully be managed by
government, see William S. Peirce, Bureaucratic Failure and
Public Expenditure (New York: Academic Press, 1981).
- The land reform and its
results are analyzed in U.S. Agency for International Development,
Inspector General, Regional Inspector General for Audit (Latin
America), "Agrarian Reform in El Salvador, A Report on its
Status" (Washington, D.C.: Audit Report No.
1-519-84-2, January 13, 1984).
- The Korean experience suggests
that land reform will be unsuccessful unless most of the land
value is confiscated from the landlords, according to Hwan Sung
Ban, Pal Yong Moon, and Dwight H. Perkins, Rural Development
(Cambridge, Massachusetts: Harvard University Press for Council on
East Asian Studies, 1980), "Studies in the Modernization of
the Republic of Korea: 1945-75," Monograph No. 89.
- Audit Report, pp.8-24.
- See the Wall Street
Journal, 21 February 1984, p.28.
- Audit Report, p.25.
- Grace Goodell, "What Life
after Land Reform?" Policy Review No. 24 (Spring
1983), pp. 121-148.
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